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First Marathon Under Two Hours

First Marathon Under Two HoursSeptember 30, 2030 - Yesterday the 20-year-old Ethiopian wonderchild Demeke Retta took his first victory in the Berlin Marathon and became the first man under two hours ever! The new record is one hour 59 minutes 47 seconds.

This was Demeke's third victory in a major marathon of only five starts and he was of course very happy: "I knew I had the race with two kilometers left, but I wasn't sure to break the record, it's incredible!" The temperature was ideal, increasing from ten degrees Celsius at the start to 17 at the finish.

Demeke was helped by the tough pace set by South African Peter Radebe, who opened the first half in 60:12 minutes, but finished second on personal best 2:00:32. "I wasn't that worried since I felt very strong today and had decided to do my own race from the start", said Demeke and commended Peter for a great race.

Both Peter and Demeke beat the previous record set in Rotterdam Marathon three years ago of 2:00:54. The Marathon world record has progressed from the Australian Derek Clayton to be the first under 2:10 in 1969, and Paul Tergat from Kenya to go under 2:05 in 2003, to now be under two hours.

 

Argument: According to the study Mathematical analysis of running performance and world running records by Francois Peronnet and Guy Thibault, the Marathon world record will be under two hours in year 2030.

Questions: Humans can't improve world records indefinitely, and according to Peronnet and Thibault it is physical impossible for a man to run a marathon faster than 1:48:25. What will happen to world record sports when we get close to the ultimate limit?

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Comments:

So where are you getting these names? Are they just random?

must be steroids!!
but non the less this is fully achievable.. the current record is.
2 hours, 4 minutes and 26 seconds

it will be broken before 2030.

i don't think you can ever get close to the limit.

there are always a few athletes that are ahead of the field they are to their sport what a common athlete is 20 years later, ahead of their time.
sports constantly change new materials are invented , new training thecniques but it ultimatly comes down to wanted to beat yourself more so then others.

i don't think there is an ultimate limit and if everyone gets close to it than someone will eventually surpass it.

It is possible.You will see in the coming four or five years.

This does not take into account the possibility that in a near future it'll be possible to genetically manipulate a human being (call it genetic doping if you want) in order to increase the VO2 max, which in our species is limited to around 80-90 mL/minxKg. Genetically manipulated mice have already clearly shown that it is feasable, just by changing one gene, to increase considerably the endurance capacity.

I think this will happen earlier. Not twenty years from now. Interesting as always.

I think genetical manipulation, or even evolution and selective genetics in athletes can make it possible to break the physical limit.

In the end the olympics are about the competition going on at the moment. They get a medal for winning the race that day, not for breaking a world record.

It is already broken by ADDIS Admas news paper

Do we have an incredible(even potentially) man like Haile G/sellasie in z feild yet? HE H.Dr Haile is z only one who wins after telling us his retiremen.He has got a fabulous endurance even beyond his knowledge.So for me 20 yrs is a very near future! BUT WHENEVER IT IS, ETHIOPIA IS AND WILL BE THE HOME LAND! WE WERE GREAT AND WE ARE AND WE WILL BE! "talak nebern talakem enhonalen"

To day i heard for real that; the so called recored is beaten by Kenya's athlete @ Boston so nothing is impossible weather we're great or not!

Is this what the future will look like? Please comment:


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