Deaths from HIV in the US Continue to Decline
The reason for the declining mortality from human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) is due to more knowledge among the general population of how to be protected against the disease, and the availability of more effective highly active anti-retroviral therapy (HAART). The last decades have seen progress in the developing of medicines to treat AIDS however there is no definite cure in sight.
Even though these numbers for the US are satisfying, AIDS has globally been outstanding in causing more deaths than any other epidemic, now counting more than 180 million people worldwide since it was recognized in year 1981. The projected life expectancy rate at birth are now five years lower in the whole of Africa, and the population is 280 million lower, than it would have been without the occurrence of AIDS.
Argument: According to the study Comparing The Public Health Burden of Chronic Hepatitis C and HIV Infection in United States, deaths from HIV in the US will be 4,200-6,700 in year 2030. The numbers of deaths worldwide from AIDS have been published by the United Nations in the report The Impact of AIDS.
Questions: The human population will be 3.5% lower in year 2030 than it would have been without the occurrence of AIDS and even if a cure is found, more than 40 million people will die before the epidemic is extinct. What is the loss of value for humanity to loose such a big part of the population? Can that value be invested today to prevent the disease to spread further?